[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?
51
แน5.1kแน8.5kDec 31
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if OpenAI, a parent company, or any subsidiary that is primarily responsible for developing ChatGPT, files a public, non-confidential initial public registration statement (SEC Form S-1) at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's EDGAR database before January 1, 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
13% chance
xAI IPOs by EOY 2026?
80% chance
Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
31% chance
Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?
22% chance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
98% chance
Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Will OpenAI declare bankruptcy or be Acquired before the end of 2027?
11% chance
OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
5% chance
Will OpenAI become a standard C Corp before 2027
22% chance