
Will we deploy large geoengineering efforts to thwart a runaway global warming before 2030?
11
Ṁ210Ṁ8242029
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a large-scale solar geoengineering project be implemented by 2035?
43% chance
Will the U.S. attempt a large scale Solar Radiation Modification geoengineering project before 2030?
23% chance
Will an individual or governmental entity conduct a geoengineering project to lower global temperatures by 2030?
Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]
35% chance
Will climate intervention (geoengineering) reduce global mean surface temperature by at least 0.1°C by 2030?
15% chance
Will we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
1% chance
In 2028, will geoengineering be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
11% chance
If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?
68% chance
Will climate geoengineering get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
65% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change before 2030?
77% chance