
Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ3382040
31%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Iranian regime has a big countdown clock to Israel's destruction, claiming it will be destroyed by September 9 2040.
Will the Iranian regime survive to or beyond that date, or will the rule of the ayatollahs be overthrown first?
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/5bd4/will-israel-survive-the-date-khamen
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
38% chance
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
11% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
25% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?
31% chance
If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
39% chance
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
39% chance
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
39% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
57% chance
Will Israel survive the date Khamenei predicted for its destruction?
93% chance
Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands?
33% chance