MANIFOLD
Tyler Robinson executed to death penalty?
19
Ṁ100Ṁ1.3k
2035
25%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • This market refers to Tyler James Robinson (born 2003), the defendant charged in Utah for the September 10, 2025 killing of Charlie Kirk. (reuters.com)

  • Resolves YES if Robinson is executed pursuant to a death sentence by any U.S. jurisdiction (state or federal), by any legally authorized method (e.g., lethal injection or firing squad). Verification will come from at least one of: Utah Department of Corrections or another responsible corrections authority, the Death Penalty Information Center (execution database), or two reputable national outlets (e.g., AP/Reuters/CNBC). Otherwise resolves NO if there is confirmation that Tyler Robinson will not be sentenced to death.

  • If Robinson dies in custody without an execution, is resentenced off death row, or his conviction is vacated without a subsequent execution by the deadline, resolves NO. If executed by firing squad, it still resolves YES under Utah law. (en.wikipedia.org)

Market context
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The last white dude to be executed in Utah spent 25 years in court. Perhaps this one will be expedited, but will you extend the market if there is no clarity by 2035 and the court case continues?

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