Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026
14
Ṁ100Ṁ585Dec 31
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution. This market is specifically for new conflicts (such as Iran bombing a European country).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Sort by: