MANIFOLD
Will any city in the UK have a self-driving taxi service by the end of 2026?
23
Ṁ100Ṁ537
2027
56%
chance

Resolves YES if any city in the UK has a self-driving taxi service generally available to the public. This includes via a waitlist, if the waitlist is open to the public.

This service only needs to cover part of the city; Waymo's service area in LA would be sufficient to resolve YES, if LA was in the UK.

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Related market - it includes some context on upcoming deployments

https://manifold.markets/Tymoteusz/when-will-the-first-fully-driverles

Essentially Waymo wants to launch by September 2026, Wayve is intending 'sometime in 2026' and Apollo Go is intending to enter with Uber and Lyft as partners 'pending regulatory approval' - My comment on the other market goes into more detail

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